How Likely Is It That Pakistan Joins The Third Gulf War In Support Of Its Saudi Ally?

AI BRIEFING

• ⬤ Pakistan’s involvement in the Third Gulf War is possible as it seeks to restore its role as the US’ top regional ally, potentially leading to a sequence of events that could restore US troops to Afghanistan's Bagram Airbase and build a new regional order.
• ⬤ Pakistan and Saudi Arabia are under pressure to activate their mutual defense pact after Iran's attacks on Saudi Arabia, which could lead to a larger US-coordinated escalation and involvement in the conflict.
• ⬤ Pakistan could use its involvement to aid its shared ally Turkey's challenge to Russia in South Asia, further solidifying its position in the region.